—model agreement
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Next 14 days
Agreement by day
How to read the result
🎯 High
The available models are relatively close. This reduces, but never removes, forecast uncertainty.
⚖️ Moderate
Some differences exist in temperature, rain or wind. Check again as the date approaches.
🔀 Low
The models diverge or fewer models cover the distant horizon. Treat the result as a scenario range.
Data sources and terms of use
Open‑Meteo Forecast
Daily output from ECMWF IFS, GFS and ICON is compared. The index is calculated by e‑meteo.
Meaning
Model agreement does not guarantee that the forecast will be correct, and the index is not an official warning.
When the figures are updated
Figures are stored briefly so the page loads faster. The result may change with the next forecast update.